Photo by Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
The new College Football Playoff rankings are out, and with one week left, we have a better idea of which teams will be selected for the Playoff on Sunday. These were this week's rankings, with each team's next opponent:Alabama and Ohio StateAlabama can still make the Playoff even if it loses to Florida this week. The Buckeyes didn't even win their division, but sitting at No. 2 with wins against Michigan (No. 5), at Wisconsin (No. 6), and at Oklahoma (No. 9), it's nearly impossible to see Urban Meyer's team falling out of the top four. Argue all you want about why Penn State should pass OSU with a win, but it's simply not happening.Washington and ClemsonClemson's situation is pretty straightforward: If they win, they deserve to be in. If they lose, they don't.The selection committee has struggled to embrace Washington all year, but the Huskies sit above Michigan, Penn State, and Wisconsin this week; they will be coming off two of their best wins of the year if they beat Colorado in the Pac-12 championship. They aren't falling past the Big Ten title game winner.If either Washington or Clemson loses…This is where things get interesting. Does the committee put Michigan, currently at No. 5, through to the Playoff ahead of the Big Ten championship winner? Badgers and Nittany Lions fans will cry foul, but that's a realistic possibility.The committee does consider conference championships as part of the selection criteria, but committee chair Kirby Holcutt said that metric is not any more or less important than things like strength of schedule, strength of wins, and head-to-head results. Michigan's body of work, despite its lack of a division title, is very strong. The Wolverines have the same record as Penn State and Wisconsin, but:
- Alabama (Florida)
- Ohio State (None)
- Clemson (Virginia Tech)
- Washington (Colorado)
- Michigan (None)
- Wisconsin (Penn State)
- Penn State (Wisconsin)
- Colorado (Washington)
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The Locks
Win and They're In, Lose and They're Out
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- Michigan beat both of them head-to-head, and beat Penn State, 49-10.
- Michigan is 3-1 against the rest of the top ten. Penn State is 1-1, while Wisconsin is 0-2.
- Michigan had to play at Ohio State, and still took the Buckeyes to overtime.